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如果交易系统已经成型,可不可以一把梭?

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发表于 2018-9-14 12:32:34 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
公告:外汇开户赠送100美金,注册即送,赠金及盈利可出金>>查看详情

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外汇交易淘汰率高如此的原因之一,就是它的保证金制度,也就是杠杆。

杠杆放大了人的贪婪和恐惧。市场上太多的交易者对杠杆缺乏足够的认知,无法合理的掌控杠杆,最终导致失败。

所以,正常的情况下,市场上的大多数先驱都建议降低杠杆,最好彻底不用。我不是先驱,但是我也建议降低或谨慎使用杠杆。

但是,不要忘了,杠杆是一把双刃剑。

它带来了巨大风险的同时,也存在着巨大收益的机会。所以说,到底该如何使用杠杆,其实没有定式,看的是交易员本身对风险的认知程度和承受能力。

最近有人问,假如在交易理念和交易系统比较成熟的情况下,可不可以加杠杆?

当然可以。但是,这其中有很多必须注意的问题。

1、高杠杆的定义

我们仅定义账户本身。有些人身怀亿万资产,拿个10万的小户在交易,这种情况,我的建议是,请往死里使用杠杆。

2、交易理念和交易系统是否真正的成熟

这个很难判断,我记得在某一个时期内,每当我觉得自己交易理念成熟了,交易系统基本完整无漏洞的时候,总会出现某些意外击垮我的盲目自信。一个交易员,交易的时间越长,经历的越多,就会越来越敬畏市场,市场中的不确定实在是太多了。

交易理念是否真正的成熟,或者已经成熟的概率有多大,这个是交易员必须做出保守估计的一个环节。

3、可否承担后果

如果一个人对自己的理念有了一定的自信,愿意选择去加杠杆。那么,身为一个风险交易员,必须要明白风险与收益互为一体的道理。加杠杆,意味着加大了潜在风险。

不存在加了杠杆就一定能暴利的情况。那假如风险发生了,账户产生了重大的回撤,或者面临权益的大幅度缩水,资金曲线被腰斩,这些最坏的情况一旦发生,能否在可承受的范围之内?

4、怎么加?

如果交易员觉得自己大概率可成,而且能够承担后果,愿意承担后果,那么可以选择加杠杆。但是,怎么加也是一个问题。从理论上来说,可以随便加,因为系统大概率成熟,而且可以接受失败。那么,是上来就加大杠杆,还是等待曲线回调的时候加大仓位,或者新高加都没有什么差别。既然愿意冒风险,可以随时随地的冒。

但是,从风控逻辑上来看,我建议是新高之后在加大杠杆。原因也很简单,刚开始就加,可能赶上连续回撤,有死在黎明前的风险。回调过程中加跟越被套越加大仓位拉低均价是一个道理,容易被突发事件一波带走。

但是新高之后就不一样了。因为新高之后有了盈利,这时加了杠杆恰好遇到意外的话,首先牺牲的是利润。在这个过程中,还可以再一次降低杠杆。这个风险相比于其他方式,更加容易控制一些。

如果以上4个方面,交易者都已经考虑清楚的话,是可以选择某一个比例去合理地适用杠杆的。

加大杠杆的风险确实很大,代价可能是账户的灭亡。但是收益,也很大。

短时间暴利的可能性,有冲击比赛排行榜的机会,成为交易明星等等。

我也曾经写过:一个有水准的交易员,之所以去选择轻仓,选择在各路明星风生水起时继续隐忍,除了其对风险的敬畏之外,我想还有一个根本原因在于:

他们赌的并非现在,并非眼前,而是整个人生。只有当一个人赌的足够大的时候,他才会谨慎,只有当一个人想赢的足够多的时候,他才会去隐忍。

说到根本,这就是一个选择。像是两套不同逻辑的交易系统。加大杠杆的本意是嫌赚钱太慢,但是一旦失败,再一次攒够足够的钱重新入市也需要时间,假如这段时间有大行情呢?

最终到底该如何抉择,需要自己根据自己的实际情况做出选择。重仓暴利的不一定是真正的高手,有可能是风口上的猪。轻仓复利的也不一定是低手,有可能是一个胸怀大志又特别能隐忍的大神。
注册送金,外汇开户免费赠送100美金,它将为那些不敢尝试外汇交易的客户提供免费的机会体验我们高质量服务,这些资金由公司提供给客户进行免费交易使用,您在开设账户后不存入任何资金就可以开始交易,在60天内交易满10手即可将赠金及盈利出金,了解详情:http://44ea.com/fx1-1-1.html
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注册送金,外汇开户免费赠送100美金,它将为那些不敢尝试外汇交易的客户提供免费的机会体验我们高质量服务,这些资金由公司提供给客户进行免费交易使用,您在开设账户后不存入任何资金就可以开始交易,在60天内交易满10手即可将赠金及盈利出金,了解详情:http://44ea.com/fx1-1-1.html
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注册送金,外汇开户免费赠送100美金,它将为那些不敢尝试外汇交易的客户提供免费的机会体验我们高质量服务,这些资金由公司提供给客户进行免费交易使用,您在开设账户后不存入任何资金就可以开始交易,在60天内交易满10手即可将赠金及盈利出金,了解详情:http://44ea.com/fx1-1-1.html
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1.发件人名字是网名
2018年11月17日2018-11-17 23:47:01
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